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CheckWeather USLawrence
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Lawrence weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Lawrence's high today between 76° and 81°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 84°, with a 76% chance of rain.

78°71°
84°67°
84°68°
69°60°
67°58°
65°58°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Drizzle
Today 78°·Low 72°·Rain 41%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Light rain
Today 76°·Low 70°·Rain 41%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Drizzle
Today 81°·Low 70°·Rain 96%
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Lawrence weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Lawrence weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lawrence swings 57°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 27°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
27°F average low
Wettest month
March
42 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
48,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lawrence and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lawrence hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lawrence 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
78° 71°
±5°
Tomorrow
Showers
84° 67°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
84° 68°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
69° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
67° 58°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
65° 58°
±8°
Thu
Partly cloudy
68° 58°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
69° 59°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
71° 56°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
74° 53°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 54°
±9°
Tue
Rain
65° 54°
±13°
Wed
Light rain
63° 49°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 49°
±5°

Lawrence, Indiana (IN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lawrence right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lawrence climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
27°
Feb
49°
30°
Mar
53°
35°
Apr
64°
44°
May
74°
55°
Jun
82°
62°
Jul
84°
66°
Aug
83°
64°
Sep
79°
60°
Oct
67°
48°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
44°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lawrence?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F96±1.2 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°76° to 81°±55%41% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±3°83° to 86°±40%36% to 76% chance
Sun±7°82° to 89°±3%44% to 47% chance
Mon±2°68° to 69°±14%48% to 62% chance
Tue±5°64° to 69°±6%35% to 41% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lawrence

today, local time
Sunrise
07:28
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lawrence today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lawrence today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lawrence today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lawrence and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lawrence?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lawrence (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lawrence?
July is typically the warmest month in Lawrence, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Lawrence get?
The coldest month in Lawrence is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Lawrence get?
Lawrence sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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