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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Lincoln weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Lincoln today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 80°, with a 84% chance of rain.

90°72°
80°68°
67°63°
65°59°
65°55°
67°52°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 73°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Cloudy
Today 92°·Low 72°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Partly cloudy
Today 90°·Low 71°·Rain 12%
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Lincoln weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Lincoln weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lincoln swings 68°F across the year, from 86°F highs in June to 18°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 27 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
18°F average low
Wettest month
May
27 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
295,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lincoln and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lincoln hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lincoln 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
90° 72°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
80° 68°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
67° 63°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
65° 59°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
65° 55°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
67° 52°
±9°
Thu
Drizzle
66° 57°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
65° 59°
±9°
Sat
Drizzle
70° 58°
±11°
Sun
Light rain
69° 60°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
66° 55°
±10°
Tue
Partly cloudy
68° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
70° 50°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
78° 59°
models agree

Lincoln, Nebraska (NE) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lincoln right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lincoln climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
18°
Feb
48°
26°
Mar
52°
31°
Apr
66°
44°
May
77°
55°
Jun
86°
65°
Jul
86°
67°
Aug
86°
67°
Sep
83°
62°
Oct
70°
50°
Nov
53°
36°
Dec
42°
27°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lincoln?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±1.7 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°90° to 92°±3%9% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±3°79° to 82°±63%21% to 84% chance
Sun±3°65° to 68°±56%31% to 87% chance
Mon±4°63° to 67°±15%26% to 41% chance
Tue±7°61° to 68°models agree3% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lincoln

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lincoln today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lincoln today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lincoln today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lincoln and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lincoln?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lincoln (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lincoln?
June is typically the warmest month in Lincoln, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Lincoln get?
The coldest month in Lincoln is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Lincoln get?
Lincoln sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

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