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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Little Rock

Little Rock weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Clear
Feels 94° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Clear
Feels 94° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 48%
EuropeanECMWF
86°
Partly cloudy
Feels 93° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 56%

Latest for Little Rock: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 87° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 89° Clear · European (ECMWF): 86° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Little Rock and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Little Rock, AR is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Little Rock right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Little Rock climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
51°
35°
Feb
61°
41°
Mar
65°
46°
Apr
72°
53°
May
82°
63°
Jun
90°
70°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
92°
73°
Sep
85°
67°
Oct
77°
57°
Nov
65°
47°
Dec
56°
40°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Little Rock today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Little Rock today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Little Rock today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Little Rock and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Little Rock?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Little Rock forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Little Rock?
Aug is typically the warmest month in Little Rock, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Little Rock get?
The coldest month in Little Rock is Jan, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Little Rock get?
Little Rock sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with Jan usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

North Little RockSherwoodMaumelleJacksonvilleEast EndBryantBentonCabot

More US weather

Most accurate forecastUS rain radarAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadThe European model vs the American model: ECMWF vs GFSThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS