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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Livermore weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Livermore today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 85°, with a 0% chance of rain.

81°54°
85°55°
77°55°
80°55°
85°56°
95°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Clear
Feels 79° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Clear
Feels 77° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 48%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Clear
Feels 78° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 42%

Latest for Livermore: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 77° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 75° Clear · European (ECMWF): 78° Clear.

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Livermore weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Livermore…

Livermore weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Livermore swings 49°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 40°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 24 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
February
40°F average low
Wettest month
January
24 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and November
Residents
88,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Livermore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Livermore hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Livermore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
81° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
85° 55°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
77° 55°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
80° 55°
±9°
Tue
Mostly clear
85° 56°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
95° 60°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
94° 66°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
85° 63°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
84° 61°
±15°
Sun
Mostly clear
83° 59°
±13°
Mon
Mostly clear
85° 57°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 58°
±9°
Wed
Clear
77° 57°
±19°
Thu
Clear
78° 54°
models agree

Livermore, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 24 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Livermore right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Livermore climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
41°
Feb
56°
40°
Mar
58°
42°
Apr
65°
45°
May
71°
49°
Jun
79°
53°
Jul
89°
57°
Aug
86°
58°
Sep
82°
56°
Oct
79°
55°
Nov
64°
45°
Dec
58°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Livermore?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
75±2.5°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
62±3.8°F95±1.6 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°80° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°84° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±8°73° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±9°74° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±7°82° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Livermore

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Livermore today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Livermore today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Livermore today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Livermore and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Livermore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Livermore (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Livermore?
July is typically the warmest month in Livermore, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Livermore get?
The coldest month in Livermore is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Livermore get?
Livermore sees roughly 24 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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