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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Medford weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Medford today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain.

78°61°
64°52°
62°50°
66°54°
60°52°
61°53°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 61°·Rain 20%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 61°·Rain 20%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 62°·Rain 66%
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Medford weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Medford weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Medford swings 58°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 25°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 52 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
25°F average low
Wettest month
March
52 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
57,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Medford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Medford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Medford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
78° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
64° 52°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
62° 50°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
66° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
60° 52°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
61° 53°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
60° 51°
±6°
Fri
Rain
60° 52°
±9°
Sat
Drizzle
63° 52°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
66° 52°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 54°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
68° 55°
±11°
Wed
Rain
68° 58°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
69° 54°
models agree

Medford, Massachusetts (MA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Medford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Medford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
27°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
47°
32°
Apr
56°
40°
May
67°
49°
Jun
76°
59°
Jul
83°
67°
Aug
78°
63°
Sep
73°
58°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
51°
36°
Dec
42°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Medford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±1.0 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F94±2.0 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree78° to 78°±46%20% to 66% chance
Tomorrow±1°63° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°61° to 63°±19%81% to 100% chance
Mon±2°64° to 67°±6%74% to 80% chance
Tue±1°60° to 60°±1%2% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Medford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
18:48
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Medford today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Medford today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Medford today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Medford and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Medford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Medford (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Medford?
July is typically the warmest month in Medford, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Medford get?
The coldest month in Medford is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Medford get?
Medford sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

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