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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Medford weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Medford today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 86°, with a 0% chance of rain.

81°51°
86°52°
89°55°
86°57°
83°56°
83°53°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Clear
Today 82°·Low 52°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Clear
Today 80°·Low 49°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Clear
Today 82°·Low 54°·Rain 4%
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Medford weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Medford weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Medford swings 64°F across the year, from 96°F highs in July to 32°F lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
96°F average high
Coldest month
February
32°F average low
Wettest month
December
39 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
80,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Medford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Medford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Medford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
81° 51°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
86° 52°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
89° 55°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
86° 57°
models agree
Tue
Clear
83° 56°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 53°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
84° 56°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
80° 56°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
77° 53°
±14°
Sun
Mostly clear
79° 54°
±20°
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 53°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
79° 54°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
67° 51°
±15°
Thu
Mostly clear
69° 46°
±8°

Medford, Oregon (OR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 32°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Medford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Medford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
35°
Feb
50°
32°
Mar
52°
32°
Apr
61°
40°
May
72°
48°
Jun
83°
54°
Jul
96°
63°
Aug
91°
61°
Sep
81°
55°
Oct
69°
46°
Nov
52°
36°
Dec
49°
36°

Which forecast is most accurate in Medford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F91±2.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F95±1.7 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°80° to 82°±3%1% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±1°86° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°88° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°85° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±6°80° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Medford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Medford today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Medford today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Medford today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Medford and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Medford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Medford (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Medford?
July is typically the warmest month in Medford, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Medford get?
The coldest month in Medford is February, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Medford get?
Medford sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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