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CheckWeather USMiami Beach
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Miami Beach weather

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Heavy showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Miami Beach today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 85°, with a 90% chance of rain.

85°78°
85°77°
85°76°
85°79°
86°79°
85°80°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Light drizzle
Feels 95° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Light drizzle
Feels 86° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 77%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Thunderstorm
Feels 94° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 73%

Latest for Miami Beach: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 85° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 79° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 84° Thunderstorm.

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Miami Beach weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Miami Beach weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Miami Beach swings 25°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 64°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 76 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
64°F average low
Wettest month
June
76 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
92,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Miami Beach and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Miami Beach hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Miami Beach 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy showers
85° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
85° 77°
models agree
Sun
Showers
85° 76°
±5°
Mon
Showers
85° 79°
±7°
Tue
Showers
86° 79°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
85° 80°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
84° 80°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
86° 80°
models agree
Sat
Showers
86° 79°
models agree
Sun
Showers
86° 79°
models agree
Mon
Showers
84° 77°
models agree
Tue
Thunderstorm
85° 76°
±4°
Wed
Thunderstorm
84° 78°
models agree
Thu
Thunderstorm
84° 78°
models agree

Miami Beach, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 64°F), with roughly 76 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Miami Beach right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Miami Beach climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
77°
64°
Feb
78°
64°
Mar
81°
68°
Apr
82°
69°
May
87°
73°
Jun
86°
75°
Jul
89°
78°
Aug
89°
78°
Sep
87°
77°
Oct
84°
74°
Nov
81°
70°
Dec
76°
65°

Which forecast is most accurate in Miami Beach?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F98±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
53
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F82±5.5 mph042% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°84° to 86°±46%54% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°84° to 86°±61%29% to 90% chance
Sun±5°83° to 88°±25%75% to 100% chance
Mon±7°82° to 89°±9%89% to 98% chance
Tue±5°83° to 88°±17%78% to 95% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Miami Beach

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Miami Beach today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Miami Beach today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Miami Beach today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Miami Beach and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Miami Beach?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Miami Beach (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 53. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Miami Beach?
July is typically the warmest month in Miami Beach, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Miami Beach get?
The coldest month in Miami Beach is January, when overnight lows average about 64°F.
How much rain does Miami Beach get?
Miami Beach sees roughly 76 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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