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Middle Island weather

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Middle Island weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Middle Island…

Middle Island weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Middle Island swings 55°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 29°F lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
February
29°F average low
Wettest month
August
54 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
February
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and September
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Middle Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Middle Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Middle Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Middle Island, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Middle Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Middle Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
32°
Feb
45°
29°
Mar
52°
35°
Apr
61°
44°
May
69°
51°
Jun
78°
61°
Jul
84°
69°
Aug
81°
66°
Sep
75°
60°
Oct
67°
51°
Nov
54°
40°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Middle Island today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Middle Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Middle Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Middle Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Middle Island?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Middle Island forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Middle Island?
July is typically the warmest month in Middle Island, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Middle Island get?
The coldest month in Middle Island is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Middle Island get?
Middle Island sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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