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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Midland weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Midland today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 96°, with a 59% chance of rain.

94°74°
96°74°
93°72°
93°72°
85°69°
84°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Clear
Today 95°·Low 74°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Mostly clear
Today 95°·Low 74°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Partly cloudy
Today 93°·Low 74°·Rain 12%
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Midland weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Midland…

Midland weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Midland swings 64°F across the year, from 99°F highs in August to 35°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 12 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
99°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
May
12 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, November and December
Residents
133,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Midland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Midland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Midland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
94° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
96° 74°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
93° 72°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
93° 72°
±7°
Tue
Thunderstorm
85° 69°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
84° 68°
±10°
Thu
Light drizzle
86° 69°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
87° 71°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
89° 70°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
92° 71°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
89° 69°
±13°
Tue
Mostly clear
87° 65°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
91° 67°
±10°
Thu
Clear
89° 69°
±10°

Midland, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 12 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Midland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Midland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
35°
Feb
65°
40°
Mar
72°
47°
Apr
80°
54°
May
88°
64°
Jun
97°
72°
Jul
97°
74°
Aug
99°
77°
Sep
89°
68°
Oct
82°
59°
Nov
68°
46°
Dec
63°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Midland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
98±0.2°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F95±1.6 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°93° to 95°±12%0% to 12% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree96° to 96°±37%22% to 59% chance
Sun±7°89° to 96°±17%26% to 43% chance
Mon±7°89° to 96°±8%47% to 55% chance
Tue±7°82° to 88°±15%50% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Midland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:34
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Midland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Midland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Midland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Midland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Midland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Midland (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Midland?
August is typically the warmest month in Midland, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Midland get?
The coldest month in Midland is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Midland get?
Midland sees roughly 12 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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