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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Midwest City weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Midwest City today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 97°, with a 5% chance of rain.

97°78°
97°78°
93°76°
86°70°
81°65°
83°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±11°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Mostly clear
Today 97°·Low 79°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Cloudy
Today 98°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Mostly clear
Today 96°·Low 79°·Rain 0%
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Midwest City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Midwest City weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Midwest City swings 65°F across the year, from 95°F highs in August to 30°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
95°F average high
Coldest month
January
30°F average low
Wettest month
November
36 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
3 months
March, April and October
Residents
57,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Midwest City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Midwest City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Midwest City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
97° 78°
models agree
Sun
Showers
93° 76°
±11°
Mon
Light rain
86° 70°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
81° 65°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 62°
±8°
Thu
Partly cloudy
86° 65°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
79° 68°
±10°
Sat
Partly cloudy
84° 68°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
89° 70°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
83° 66°
±22°
Tue
Clear
78° 60°
±6°
Wed
Partly cloudy
84° 61°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
87° 67°
models agree

Midwest City, Oklahoma (OK) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Midwest City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Midwest City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
30°
Feb
57°
38°
Mar
63°
44°
Apr
72°
52°
May
80°
62°
Jun
90°
71°
Jul
93°
74°
Aug
95°
75°
Sep
87°
67°
Oct
77°
58°
Nov
62°
45°
Dec
54°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Midwest City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F95±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°97° to 98°±3%2% to 5% chance
Sun±11°89° to 100°±5%58% to 63% chance
Mon±5°84° to 89°±45%6% to 51% chance
Tue±7°78° to 85°±7%1% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Midwest City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Midwest City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Midwest City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Midwest City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Midwest City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Midwest City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Midwest City (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Midwest City?
August is typically the warmest month in Midwest City, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Midwest City get?
The coldest month in Midwest City is January, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Midwest City get?
Midwest City sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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