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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Milwaukee weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 67° in Milwaukee today. Tomorrow looks heavy rain around 70°, with a 100% chance of rain.

67°61°
70°62°
66°61°
62°57°
61°55°
62°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
66°
Drizzle
Today 66°·Low 61°·Rain 28%
AmericanNOAA GFS
67°
Light rain
Today 67°·Low 59°·Rain 28%
EuropeanECMWF
67°
Light drizzle
Today 67°·Low 62°·Rain 95%
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Milwaukee weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Milwaukee weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Milwaukee swings 59°F across the year, from 80°F highs in July to 21°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
80°F average high
Coldest month
January
21°F average low
Wettest month
April
37 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
564,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Milwaukee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Milwaukee in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Milwaukee, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Milwaukee hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Milwaukee 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
67° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy rain
70° 62°
±6°
Sun
Rain
66° 61°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
62° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
61° 55°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
62° 56°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
62° 57°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
64° 57°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
66° 56°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
68° 56°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
67° 54°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
57° 51°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
59° 49°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
65° 49°
models agree

Milwaukee, Wisconsin (WI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Milwaukee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Milwaukee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
21°
Feb
41°
24°
Mar
44°
29°
Apr
57°
39°
May
66°
48°
Jun
77°
59°
Jul
80°
64°
Aug
79°
63°
Sep
75°
59°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
48°
36°
Dec
39°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Milwaukee?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
71±2.9°F92±2.5 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°66° to 67°±67%28% to 95% chance
Tomorrow±6°67° to 73°±12%88% to 100% chance
Sun±3°64° to 67°±23%43% to 66% chance
Mon±4°61° to 64°±8%10% to 18% chance
Tue±4°59° to 63°±16%8% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Milwaukee

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:56
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Milwaukee today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Milwaukee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Milwaukee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Milwaukee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Milwaukee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Milwaukee (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Milwaukee?
July is typically the warmest month in Milwaukee, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Milwaukee get?
The coldest month in Milwaukee is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Milwaukee get?
Milwaukee sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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