CheckWeather US›Minnetonka
Minnetonka weather
Loading live data…The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Minnetonka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Loading the three model maps…
Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models7-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitMinnetonka, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Minnetonka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
Minnetonka climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearJan
26°
14°
Feb
36°
16°
Mar
40°
22°
Apr
54°
36°
May
72°
51°
Jun
80°
62°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
78°
60°
Oct
62°
46°
Nov
44°
32°
Dec
34°
23°
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.
Common questions
What's the weather in Minnetonka today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Minnetonka today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Minnetonka today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Minnetonka and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Minnetonka?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Minnetonka forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Minnetonka?
July is typically the warmest month in Minnetonka, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Minnetonka get?
The coldest month in Minnetonka is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Minnetonka get?
Minnetonka sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
The forecasts Americans check
The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.