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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Mission District weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Mission District today. Tomorrow looks fog around 69°, with a 2% chance of rain.

70°57°
69°58°
65°58°
66°59°
70°58°
77°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Fog
Today 71°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Cloudy
Today 69°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
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Mission District weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Mission District weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mission District swings 28°F across the year, from 73°F highs in October to 45°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 33 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
October
73°F average high
Coldest month
February
45°F average low
Wettest month
January
33 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
47,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mission District and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mission District hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mission District 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
70° 57°
models agree
Tomorrow
Fog
69° 58°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
65° 58°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
66° 59°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
70° 58°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
77° 59°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
75° 61°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
73° 60°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
71° 60°
±10°
Sun
Mostly clear
70° 59°
±10°
Mon
Cloudy
71° 59°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
67° 59°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
67° 58°
±8°
Thu
Clear
68° 57°
models agree

Mission District, California (CA) is at its warmest in Oct (average highs near 73°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 45°F), with roughly 33 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mission District right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mission District climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
47°
Feb
56°
45°
Mar
56°
47°
Apr
59°
48°
May
62°
52°
Jun
65°
54°
Jul
68°
56°
Aug
70°
57°
Sep
69°
57°
Oct
73°
55°
Nov
62°
50°
Dec
59°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mission District?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
58±4.2°F92±2.5 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°69° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°67° to 70°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±4°63° to 67°±2%2% to 4% chance
Mon±4°64° to 68°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±8°66° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mission District

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mission District today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mission District today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mission District today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mission District and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mission District?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mission District (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mission District?
October is typically the warmest month in Mission District, with average highs around 73°F.
How cold does Mission District get?
The coldest month in Mission District is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Mission District get?
Mission District sees roughly 33 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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