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CheckWeather USMissouri City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Missouri City weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 93° in Missouri City today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 94°, with a 33% chance of rain.

93°76°
94°74°
94°75°
95°76°
96°77°
96°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±7°Sundaysplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Mostly clear
Today 93°·Low 77°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Cloudy
Today 95°·Low 75°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Light drizzle
Today 92°·Low 75°·Rain 19%
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Missouri City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Missouri City weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Missouri City swings 49°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 47°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 65 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
47°F average low
Wettest month
January
65 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, November and December
Residents
74,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Missouri City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Missouri City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Missouri City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
93° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
94° 74°
±7°
Sun
Mostly clear
94° 75°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
95° 76°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
96° 77°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
96° 76°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
94° 78°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
94° 75°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
94° 75°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
94° 75°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 73°
±7°
Tue
Rain
89° 75°
models agree
Wed
Clear
90° 72°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
90° 68°
±5°

Missouri City, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 65 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Missouri City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Missouri City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
64°
47°
Feb
70°
52°
Mar
75°
59°
Apr
79°
62°
May
85°
70°
Jun
93°
75°
Jul
93°
77°
Aug
96°
78°
Sep
91°
74°
Oct
84°
66°
Nov
73°
57°
Dec
67°
51°

Which forecast is most accurate in Missouri City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
52
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F90±3.1 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°92° to 95°±17%2% to 19% chance
Tomorrow±7°91° to 98°±33%0% to 33% chance
Sun±4°91° to 96°±38%15% to 53% chance
Mon±3°94° to 96°±8%14% to 22% chance
Tue±1°96° to 97°±55%6% to 61% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Missouri City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Missouri City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Missouri City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Missouri City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Missouri City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Missouri City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Missouri City (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 52. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Missouri City?
August is typically the warmest month in Missouri City, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Missouri City get?
The coldest month in Missouri City is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Missouri City get?
Missouri City sees roughly 65 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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