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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Mobile weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Mobile today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 95°, with a 29% chance of rain.

92°70°
95°73°
94°75°
92°76°
92°75°
92°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±9°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Clear
Today 92°·Low 73°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Clear
Today 93°·Low 68°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Clear
Today 91°·Low 69°·Rain 0%
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active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Mobile weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mobile swings 53°F across the year, from 98°F highs in August to 45°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 56 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
98°F average high
Coldest month
January
45°F average low
Wettest month
January
56 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
183,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mobile and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mobile hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mobile 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
92° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
95° 73°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
94° 75°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
92° 76°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 75°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
92° 75°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
91° 74°
±8°
Fri
Mostly clear
90° 74°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
88° 71°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
88° 69°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
87° 72°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
87° 71°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
87° 68°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
85° 65°
±8°

Mobile, Alabama (AL) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 56 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mobile right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mobile climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
67°
51°
Mar
71°
55°
Apr
76°
60°
May
84°
69°
Jun
91°
74°
Jul
92°
76°
Aug
98°
78°
Sep
89°
72°
Oct
82°
62°
Nov
72°
56°
Dec
63°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mobile?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F92±2.6 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°91° to 93°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°94° to 96°±25%4% to 29% chance
Sun±9°90° to 99°±46%21% to 67% chance
Mon±2°91° to 93°±35%24% to 59% chance
Tue±5°90° to 95°±18%32% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mobile

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:53
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mobile today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mobile today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mobile today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mobile and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mobile?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mobile (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mobile?
August is typically the warmest month in Mobile, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Mobile get?
The coldest month in Mobile is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Mobile get?
Mobile sees roughly 56 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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