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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Monroe weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Monroe today. Tomorrow looks clear around 99°, with a 1% chance of rain.

97°70°
99°72°
99°75°
98°76°
97°73°
94°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Clear
Today 98°·Low 72°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 67°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Clear
Today 96°·Low 70°·Rain 0%
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Monroe weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Monroe weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Monroe swings 57°F across the year, from 97°F highs in August to 40°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
97°F average high
Coldest month
January
40°F average low
Wettest month
January
50 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
50,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Monroe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Monroe hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Monroe 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
97° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
99° 72°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
99° 75°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
98° 76°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
97° 73°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
94° 73°
±8°
Thu
Mostly clear
91° 69°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
91° 68°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
90° 68°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 69°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
89° 68°
±7°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
84° 66°
±8°
Wed
Clear
85° 59°
±7°
Thu
Clear
88° 57°
±11°

Monroe, Louisiana (LA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Monroe right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Monroe climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
40°
Feb
65°
47°
Mar
70°
51°
Apr
76°
57°
May
85°
66°
Jun
92°
73°
Jul
93°
76°
Aug
97°
77°
Sep
89°
70°
Oct
82°
60°
Nov
70°
52°
Dec
62°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Monroe?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F93±2.1 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°96° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°99° to 100°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±3°98° to 101°±5%1% to 6% chance
Monmodels agree98° to 99°±9%13% to 22% chance
Tue±2°96° to 98°±11%13% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Monroe

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:10
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Monroe today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Monroe today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Monroe today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Monroe and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Monroe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Monroe (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Monroe?
August is typically the warmest month in Monroe, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does Monroe get?
The coldest month in Monroe is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Monroe get?
Monroe sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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