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Newport News weekend weather

This weekend in Newport News, VA, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 83° across the weekend. Agreement is medium - plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Tomorrow

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Light drizzle
High 80°·Low 74°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
High 81°·Low 73°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Light drizzle
High 81°·Low 71°·Rain 27%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Mostly clear
High 84°·Low 72°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Cloudy
High 84°·Low 72°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Light drizzle
High 85°·Low 70°·Rain 4%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°86° to 91°±68%7% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±1°80° to 81°±19%8% to 27% chance
Sun±1°84° to 85°models agree4% to 4% chance
Monmodels agree82° to 82°±12%55% to 67% chance
Tue±2°77° to 79°±17%43% to 60% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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