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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Normal weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Normal's high today between 73° and 80°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 84°, with a 39% chance of rain.

77°68°
84°70°
75°63°
63°58°
61°54°
66°53°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Light rain
Today 78°·Low 67°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Fog
Today 73°·Low 69°·Rain 25%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Thunderstorm
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 100%
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Normal weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Normal…

Normal weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Normal swings 61°F across the year, from 84°F highs in June to 23°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
23°F average low
Wettest month
April
36 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
54,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Normal and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Normal hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Normal 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
77° 68°
±7°
Tomorrow
Showers
84° 70°
±5°
Sun
Light rain
75° 63°
models agree
Mon
Rain
63° 58°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
61° 54°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
66° 53°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
67° 55°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
69° 56°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
70° 55°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
73° 54°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
70° 53°
±8°
Tue
Light drizzle
59° 50°
±16°
Wed
Partly cloudy
64° 46°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
71° 49°
models agree

Normal, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Normal right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Normal climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
23°
Feb
47°
28°
Mar
52°
33°
Apr
63°
42°
May
76°
55°
Jun
84°
64°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
78°
60°
Oct
66°
48°
Nov
52°
37°
Dec
42°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Normal?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F93±2.1 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°73° to 80°±75%25% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±5°82° to 86°±15%24% to 39% chance
Sun±3°73° to 76°±20%53% to 73% chance
Mon±2°63° to 64°±11%60% to 71% chance
Tue±4°59° to 63°±29%10% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Normal

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Normal today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Normal today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Normal today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Normal and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Normal?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Normal (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Normal?
June is typically the warmest month in Normal, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Normal get?
The coldest month in Normal is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Normal get?
Normal sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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