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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Oxford Circle weather

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Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Oxford Circle today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 74°, with a 4% chance of rain.

83°70°
74°61°
76°62°
69°61°
63°57°
64°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±8°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Partly cloudy
Today 82°·Low 69°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Cloudy
Today 85°·Low 69°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Light drizzle
Today 83°·Low 70°·Rain 59%
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Oxford Circle weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Oxford Circle weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Oxford Circle swings 59°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 31°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 45 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
February
31°F average low
Wettest month
March
45 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
February
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
49,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oxford Circle and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Oxford Circle hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Oxford Circle 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
83° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
74° 61°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
76° 62°
±8°
Mon
Light rain
69° 61°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
63° 57°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
64° 55°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
63° 55°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
68° 55°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
71° 55°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
72° 57°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 57°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
78° 59°
±5°
Wed
Rain
72° 63°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 56°
±4°

Oxford Circle, Pennsylvania (PA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 31°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oxford Circle right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oxford Circle climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
32°
Feb
48°
31°
Mar
54°
36°
Apr
66°
46°
May
74°
54°
Jun
85°
63°
Jul
90°
70°
Aug
85°
67°
Sep
78°
61°
Oct
70°
50°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Oxford Circle?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F94±1.8 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°82° to 85°±48%11% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±2°73° to 76°±1%3% to 4% chance
Sun±8°73° to 81°±7%70% to 77% chance
Mon±4°67° to 71°±2%70% to 72% chance
Tue±4°61° to 65°±13%20% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oxford Circle

today, local time
Sunrise
06:44
Sunset
19:03
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oxford Circle today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Oxford Circle today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oxford Circle today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Oxford Circle and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oxford Circle?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oxford Circle (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oxford Circle?
July is typically the warmest month in Oxford Circle, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Oxford Circle get?
The coldest month in Oxford Circle is February, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Oxford Circle get?
Oxford Circle sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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