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CheckWeather USPalm Bay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Palm Bay weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Palm Bay today. Tomorrow looks showers around 85°, with a 99% chance of rain.

84°75°
85°75°
85°74°
84°74°
86°74°
85°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Showers
Today 84°·Low 78°·Rain 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 76°·Rain 37%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Thunderstorm
Today 85°·Low 72°·Rain 94%
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Palm Bay weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Palm Bay…

Palm Bay weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Palm Bay swings 33°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 57°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
57°F average low
Wettest month
June
55 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, November and December
Residents
120,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Palm Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Palm Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Palm Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
84° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
85° 75°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
85° 74°
models agree
Mon
Showers
84° 74°
models agree
Tue
Showers
86° 74°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
85° 75°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
84° 75°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
84° 76°
models agree
Sat
Thunderstorm
85° 75°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
83° 74°
±4°
Mon
Showers
82° 74°
±6°
Tue
Thunderstorm
85° 72°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
82° 72°
±8°
Thu
Thunderstorm
81° 73°
models agree

Palm Bay, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 57°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Palm Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Palm Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
72°
57°
Feb
76°
58°
Mar
80°
63°
Apr
81°
66°
May
85°
70°
Jun
88°
73°
Jul
90°
76°
Aug
89°
77°
Sep
87°
74°
Oct
82°
71°
Nov
78°
65°
Dec
72°
59°

Which forecast is most accurate in Palm Bay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
83±1.7°F94±1.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
51
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F84±5.1 mph035% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°83° to 85°±57%37% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±2°83° to 86°±80%19% to 99% chance
Sun±3°83° to 86°±40%56% to 96% chance
Mon±4°83° to 87°±25%71% to 96% chance
Tue±5°84° to 89°±18%78% to 96% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palm Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palm Bay today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Palm Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palm Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Palm Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palm Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Palm Bay (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 51. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palm Bay?
July is typically the warmest month in Palm Bay, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Palm Bay get?
The coldest month in Palm Bay is January, when overnight lows average about 57°F.
How much rain does Palm Bay get?
Palm Bay sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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