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CheckWeather USPalm Coast
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Palm Coast weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Palm Coast today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 85°, with a 62% chance of rain.

85°75°
85°73°
85°74°
85°73°
86°73°
85°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Showers
Today 87°·Low 76°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Drizzle
Today 85°·Low 76°·Rain 22%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Thunderstorm
Today 84°·Low 74°·Rain 82%
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Palm Coast weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Palm Coast weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Palm Coast swings 40°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 51°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 52 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
51°F average low
Wettest month
September
52 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
83,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Palm Coast and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Palm Coast hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Palm Coast 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
85° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
85° 73°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
85° 74°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
85° 73°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
86° 73°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
85° 73°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
85° 74°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
86° 75°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
84° 74°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
83° 72°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
83° 72°
±5°
Tue
Thunderstorm
86° 71°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
86° 71°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 72°
models agree

Palm Coast, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 51°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Palm Coast right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Palm Coast climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
69°
51°
Feb
72°
54°
Mar
76°
59°
Apr
79°
62°
May
84°
68°
Jun
88°
72°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
90°
76°
Sep
86°
73°
Oct
80°
67°
Nov
75°
61°
Dec
69°
55°

Which forecast is most accurate in Palm Coast?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F97±1.1 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
54
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F86±4.4 mph039% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°84° to 87°±60%22% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±4°83° to 87°±52%10% to 62% chance
Sun±2°84° to 86°±68%17% to 85% chance
Mon±5°83° to 88°±44%50% to 94% chance
Tue±4°84° to 88°±28%63% to 91% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palm Coast

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palm Coast today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Palm Coast today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palm Coast today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Palm Coast and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palm Coast?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Palm Coast (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 54. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palm Coast?
July is typically the warmest month in Palm Coast, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Palm Coast get?
The coldest month in Palm Coast is January, when overnight lows average about 51°F.
How much rain does Palm Coast get?
Palm Coast sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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