Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USPaterson
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Paterson weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Paterson today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 71°, with a 2% chance of rain.

81°68°
71°57°
68°60°
67°58°
62°53°
63°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Light drizzle
Today 81°·Low 68°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 67°·Rain 12%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 68°·Rain 38%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Paterson weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Paterson…

Paterson weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Paterson swings 58°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 28°F lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
February
28°F average low
Wettest month
April
54 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
148,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Paterson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Paterson hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Paterson 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 57°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
68° 60°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
67° 58°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
62° 53°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
63° 51°
±6°
Thu
Light rain
62° 53°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
66° 53°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
69° 55°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
72° 56°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 57°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 59°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
80° 60°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
69° 54°
±8°

Paterson, New Jersey (NJ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Paterson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Paterson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
30°
Feb
46°
28°
Mar
51°
34°
Apr
63°
43°
May
72°
51°
Jun
81°
61°
Jul
86°
68°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
55°
38°
Dec
45°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Paterson?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±2.0 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°81° to 82°±26%12% to 38% chance
Tomorrow±1°71° to 72°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±5°66° to 71°±10%88% to 98% chance
Mon±2°66° to 69°models agree71% to 71% chance
Tue±7°58° to 65°±17%8% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paterson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:00
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paterson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Paterson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Paterson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Paterson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paterson?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paterson (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paterson?
July is typically the warmest month in Paterson, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Paterson get?
The coldest month in Paterson is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Paterson get?
Paterson sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather