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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Petaluma weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Petaluma's high today between 74° and 79°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

77°54°
79°53°
75°53°
79°54°
81°55°
89°55°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±9°Sundaysplit ±18°Mondaysplit ±18°Tuesdaysplit ±19°Wednesdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Partly cloudy
Today 78°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Fog
Today 79°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
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Petaluma weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Petaluma…

Petaluma weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Petaluma swings 42°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 41°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
41°F average low
Wettest month
January
37 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and October
Residents
60,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Petaluma and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Petaluma hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Petaluma 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
77° 54°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
79° 53°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
75° 53°
±18°
Mon
Partly cloudy
79° 54°
±18°
Tue
Cloudy
81° 55°
±19°
Wed
Cloudy
89° 55°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
88° 58°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
81° 57°
±20°
Sat
Partly cloudy
79° 57°
±22°
Sun
Partly cloudy
78° 56°
±22°
Mon
Partly cloudy
79° 54°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
78° 54°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
77° 53°
±6°
Thu
Clear
77° 52°
±6°

Petaluma, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 41°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Petaluma right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Petaluma climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
44°
Feb
57°
41°
Mar
58°
43°
Apr
65°
45°
May
69°
49°
Jun
76°
52°
Jul
83°
55°
Aug
81°
55°
Sep
79°
54°
Oct
78°
53°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
59°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Petaluma?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F96±1.1 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
60±4.0°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°74° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±9°75° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±18°67° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±18°71° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±19°73° to 91°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Petaluma

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Petaluma today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Petaluma today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Petaluma today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Petaluma and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Petaluma?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Petaluma (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Petaluma?
July is typically the warmest month in Petaluma, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Petaluma get?
The coldest month in Petaluma is February, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Petaluma get?
Petaluma sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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