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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Pontiac weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Pontiac today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 63°, with a 100% chance of rain.

71°54°
63°56°
65°58°
62°53°
63°50°
58°52°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Light drizzle
Today 70°·Low 54°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Cloudy
Today 73°·Low 54°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 55°·Rain 25%
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Pontiac weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Pontiac…

Pontiac weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Pontiac swings 57°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 24°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
24°F average low
Wettest month
July
36 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
60,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Pontiac and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Pontiac hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Pontiac 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
71° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
63° 56°
models agree
Sun
Rain
65° 58°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
62° 53°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
63° 50°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
58° 52°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
61° 54°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
67° 54°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
70° 52°
±9°
Sun
Partly cloudy
70° 53°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
69° 54°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
65° 53°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
59° 49°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
63° 48°
±6°

Pontiac, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Pontiac right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Pontiac climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
24°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
46°
30°
Apr
59°
40°
May
71°
50°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
62°
47°
Nov
48°
36°
Dec
40°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Pontiac?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.3 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.8 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°70° to 73°±19%6% to 25% chance
Tomorrow±1°62° to 63°±46%54% to 100% chance
Sun±5°63° to 69°±6%82% to 88% chance
Mon±9°59° to 68°±9%5% to 14% chance
Tue±6°60° to 67°±5%13% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Pontiac

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Pontiac today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Pontiac today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Pontiac today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Pontiac and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Pontiac?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Pontiac (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Pontiac?
July is typically the warmest month in Pontiac, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Pontiac get?
The coldest month in Pontiac is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Pontiac get?
Pontiac sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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