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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Port Orange weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Port Orange today. Tomorrow looks showers around 83°, with a 90% chance of rain.

84°75°
83°75°
82°74°
84°74°
86°73°
85°74°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Mainly clear
Feels 93° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Clear
Feels 94° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Light drizzle
Feels 90° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 76%

Latest for Port Orange: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 83° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 82° Clear · European (ECMWF): 82° Light drizzle.

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Port Orange weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Port Orange weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Port Orange swings 35°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 54°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
54°F average low
Wettest month
September
55 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
60,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Port Orange and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Port Orange hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Port Orange 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
84° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
83° 75°
models agree
Sun
Showers
82° 74°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 74°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
86° 73°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
85° 74°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
84° 75°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
85° 76°
±5°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
83° 74°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
83° 73°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 72°
±7°
Tue
Thunderstorm
85° 72°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
87° 71°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
81° 72°
±6°

Port Orange, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 54°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Port Orange right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Port Orange climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
69°
54°
Feb
72°
57°
Mar
75°
62°
Apr
78°
65°
May
83°
70°
Jun
86°
74°
Jul
89°
76°
Aug
89°
77°
Sep
84°
75°
Oct
80°
71°
Nov
75°
64°
Dec
69°
58°

Which forecast is most accurate in Port Orange?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F92±2.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
53
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F89±3.6 mph032% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°83° to 84°±70%26% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±4°81° to 84°±68%22% to 90% chance
Sun±2°81° to 83°±46%40% to 86% chance
Mon±5°82° to 88°±42%52% to 94% chance
Tue±6°84° to 90°±24%66% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port Orange

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:25
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port Orange today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Port Orange today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Port Orange today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Port Orange and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port Orange?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Port Orange (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 53. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port Orange?
July is typically the warmest month in Port Orange, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Port Orange get?
The coldest month in Port Orange is January, when overnight lows average about 54°F.
How much rain does Port Orange get?
Port Orange sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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