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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 8°F

Richmond weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Richmond's high today between 73° and 81°, a 8° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 74°, with a 1% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

76°56°
74°58°
68°57°
68°58°
72°58°
84°59°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowsplit ±9°Sundaysplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Partly cloudy
Today 73°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
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Richmond weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Richmond weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Richmond swings 33°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 44°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 33 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
February
44°F average low
Wettest month
January
33 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
110,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Richmond and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Richmond hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Richmond 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
76° 56°
±8°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
74° 58°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
68° 57°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
68° 58°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 58°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
84° 59°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 62°
±21°
Fri
Mostly clear
72° 60°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
74° 60°
±10°
Sun
Partly cloudy
75° 59°
±10°
Mon
Partly cloudy
76° 58°
±17°
Tue
Drizzle
74° 59°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
76° 58°
±17°
Thu
Clear
76° 58°
±7°

Richmond, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 44°F), with roughly 33 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Richmond right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Richmond climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
45°
Feb
56°
44°
Mar
57°
46°
Apr
64°
47°
May
67°
51°
Jun
72°
54°
Jul
77°
55°
Aug
77°
57°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
76°
55°
Nov
63°
49°
Dec
58°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Richmond?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F96±1.2 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
77
/100rank #2
48±5.2°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°73° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±9°70° to 79°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±6°65° to 71°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°66° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±7°69° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Richmond

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Richmond today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Richmond today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Richmond today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Richmond and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Richmond?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Richmond (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Richmond?
July is typically the warmest month in Richmond, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Richmond get?
The coldest month in Richmond is February, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Richmond get?
Richmond sees roughly 33 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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