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CheckWeather USRichmond
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Richmond weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 87° in Richmond today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 81°, with a 33% chance of rain.

87°71°
81°69°
86°67°
77°68°
72°66°
68°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Mainly clear
Feels 87° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Mainly clear
Feels 87° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 62%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Mainly clear
Feels 87° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 56%

Latest for Richmond: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 82° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 82° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 82° Mainly clear.

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Richmond weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Richmond weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Richmond swings 55°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
December
37 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
227,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Richmond and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Richmond hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Richmond 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
87° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
81° 69°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
86° 67°
models agree
Mon
Rain
77° 68°
±6°
Tue
Rain
72° 66°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
68° 62°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
70° 60°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
71° 59°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
73° 55°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
75° 55°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
77° 57°
±6°
Tue
Fog
78° 62°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
82° 66°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 58°
±7°

Richmond, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Richmond right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Richmond climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
51°
35°
Feb
56°
37°
Mar
61°
41°
Apr
73°
50°
May
76°
57°
Jun
86°
64°
Jul
90°
71°
Aug
87°
68°
Sep
80°
63°
Oct
71°
51°
Nov
60°
42°
Dec
52°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Richmond?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F92±2.4 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°87° to 88°±27%10% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±2°80° to 82°±22%11% to 33% chance
Sun±3°85° to 87°±9%13% to 22% chance
Mon±6°73° to 79°±22%25% to 47% chance
Tue±3°70° to 74°±18%43% to 61% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Richmond

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Richmond today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Richmond today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Richmond today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Richmond and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Richmond?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Richmond (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Richmond?
July is typically the warmest month in Richmond, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Richmond get?
The coldest month in Richmond is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Richmond get?
Richmond sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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