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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Rock Hill weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Rock Hill today. Tomorrow looks showers around 89°, with a 55% chance of rain.

94°71°
89°72°
88°71°
89°71°
81°69°
73°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±10°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
94°
Showers
Today 94°·Low 71°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Cloudy
Today 96°·Low 70°·Rain 25%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Drizzle
Today 93°·Low 72°·Rain 47%
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Rock Hill weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Rock Hill weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Rock Hill swings 52°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 38°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 45 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
August
45 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
72,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rock Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rock Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rock Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
94° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
89° 72°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
88° 71°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
89° 71°
±10°
Tue
Thunderstorm
81° 69°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
73° 66°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
75° 63°
±11°
Fri
Light drizzle
76° 63°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
74° 61°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
76° 59°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
78° 63°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
85° 66°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
78° 64°
±12°

Rock Hill, South Carolina (SC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rock Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rock Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
61°
42°
Mar
65°
45°
Apr
73°
52°
May
79°
60°
Jun
86°
65°
Jul
90°
71°
Aug
87°
69°
Sep
81°
64°
Oct
74°
53°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
55°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rock Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F96±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F93±2.2 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°93° to 96°±22%25% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±5°87° to 92°±41%14% to 55% chance
Sun±3°87° to 90°±50%11% to 61% chance
Mon±10°85° to 95°±16%62% to 78% chance
Tue±3°80° to 83°±1%64% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rock Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rock Hill today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rock Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rock Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rock Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rock Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rock Hill (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rock Hill?
July is typically the warmest month in Rock Hill, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Rock Hill get?
The coldest month in Rock Hill is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Rock Hill get?
Rock Hill sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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