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CheckWeather USSaginaw
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Saginaw weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 67° in Saginaw today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 63°, with a 100% chance of rain.

67°53°
63°55°
65°57°
61°54°
63°49°
61°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
67°
Cloudy
Today 67°·Low 53°·Rain 19%
AmericanNOAA GFS
69°
Cloudy
Today 69°·Low 53°·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
67°
Cloudy
Today 67°·Low 53°·Rain 35%
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Saginaw weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Saginaw weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Saginaw swings 59°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 23°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
23°F average low
Wettest month
July
36 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, August, September and October
Residents
49,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Saginaw and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saginaw hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saginaw 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
67° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
63° 55°
models agree
Sun
Rain
65° 57°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
61° 54°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
63° 49°
±6°
Wed
Drizzle
61° 51°
±10°
Thu
Light drizzle
63° 54°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
67° 53°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
70° 51°
±7°
Sun
Partly cloudy
71° 49°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
68° 52°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
63° 53°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
61° 49°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
65° 48°
±5°

Saginaw, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Saginaw right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Saginaw climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
23°
Feb
41°
24°
Mar
45°
28°
Apr
59°
39°
May
71°
48°
Jun
80°
59°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
78°
60°
Sep
75°
56°
Oct
63°
46°
Nov
48°
35°
Dec
39°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Saginaw?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F96±1.4 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°67° to 69°±16%19% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±2°62° to 64°±56%44% to 100% chance
Sun±2°64° to 66°±23%67% to 90% chance
Mon±6°59° to 65°models agree2% to 2% chance
Tue±6°61° to 67°±2%8% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saginaw

today, local time
Sunrise
07:18
Sunset
19:40
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saginaw today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Saginaw today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saginaw today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Saginaw and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saginaw?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saginaw (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saginaw?
July is typically the warmest month in Saginaw, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Saginaw get?
The coldest month in Saginaw is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Saginaw get?
Saginaw sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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