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CheckWeather USSaint Charles
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Saint Charles weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in Saint Charles today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 96°, with a 7% chance of rain.

96°74°
96°76°
93°73°
76°65°
69°61°
73°58°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Partly cloudy
Feels 100° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 41%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Overcast
Feels 100° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 35%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Light drizzle
Feels 99° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 43%

Latest for Saint Charles: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 95° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 96° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 93° Light drizzle.

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Saint Charles weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Saint Charles weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Saint Charles swings 60°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 27°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 46 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
27°F average low
Wettest month
March
46 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
66,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Saint Charles and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saint Charles hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saint Charles 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
96° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
96° 76°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
93° 73°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
76° 65°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
69° 61°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
73° 58°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 57°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
73° 59°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
76° 60°
±13°
Sun
Cloudy
80° 60°
±17°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 58°
±11°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 52°
±8°
Wed
Mostly clear
71° 50°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
80° 56°
±5°

Saint Charles, Missouri (MO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Saint Charles right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Saint Charles climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
27°
Feb
53°
33°
Mar
57°
38°
Apr
68°
48°
May
78°
58°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
85°
69°
Sep
80°
62°
Oct
70°
51°
Nov
57°
41°
Dec
48°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint Charles?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F94±1.9 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°95° to 97°±27%10% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±3°95° to 98°±5%2% to 7% chance
Sun±5°90° to 95°±6%38% to 44% chance
Mon±2°75° to 77°±18%51% to 69% chance
Tue±8°64° to 72°±12%23% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint Charles

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint Charles today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Saint Charles today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saint Charles today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Saint Charles and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint Charles?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint Charles (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint Charles?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint Charles, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Saint Charles get?
The coldest month in Saint Charles is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Saint Charles get?
Saint Charles sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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