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CheckWeather USSaint Joseph
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Saint Joseph weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Saint Joseph today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 90°, with a 86% chance of rain.

92°74°
90°72°
74°66°
66°60°
66°56°
69°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Partly cloudy
Today 91°·Low 73°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Cloudy
Today 95°·Low 76°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Partly cloudy
Today 91°·Low 74°·Rain 22%
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Saint Joseph weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Saint Joseph weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Saint Joseph swings 65°F across the year, from 86°F highs in June to 21°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
21°F average low
Wettest month
August
37 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
77,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Saint Joseph and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saint Joseph hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saint Joseph 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
92° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
90° 72°
models agree
Sun
Rain
74° 66°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
66° 60°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
66° 56°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
69° 51°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
68° 55°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
68° 58°
±12°
Sat
Light drizzle
73° 59°
±9°
Sun
Rain
73° 61°
±7°
Mon
Rain
70° 56°
±15°
Tue
Mostly clear
67° 51°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
70° 50°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
80° 58°
models agree

Saint Joseph, Missouri (MO) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Saint Joseph right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Saint Joseph climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
21°
Feb
51°
28°
Mar
55°
35°
Apr
67°
46°
May
77°
56°
Jun
86°
67°
Jul
86°
69°
Aug
85°
68°
Sep
81°
62°
Oct
70°
52°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
44°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint Joseph?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F94±1.8 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°91° to 95°±19%3% to 22% chance
Tomorrow±4°89° to 92°±46%40% to 86% chance
Sun±3°73° to 75°±41%55% to 96% chance
Mon±1°65° to 66°±10%53% to 63% chance
Tue±3°64° to 68°±9%3% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint Joseph

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint Joseph today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Saint Joseph today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saint Joseph today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Saint Joseph and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint Joseph?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint Joseph (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint Joseph?
June is typically the warmest month in Saint Joseph, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Saint Joseph get?
The coldest month in Saint Joseph is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Saint Joseph get?
Saint Joseph sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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