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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 14°F

Salt Lake City (SLC) weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Salt Lake City's high today between 73° and 86°, a 14° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 70°, with a 73% chance of rain.

77°59°
70°54°
74°50°
80°56°
77°61°
80°59°
Todaysplit ±14°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Light rain
Today 73°·Low 59°·Rain 45%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Heavy rain
Today 86°·Low 59°·Rain 45%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Light rain
Today 73°·Low 59°·Rain 99%
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Salt Lake City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Salt Lake City weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Salt Lake City swings 73°F across the year, from 96°F highs in July to 23°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 25 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
23°F average low
Wettest month
March
25 in a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
May and October
Residents
216,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Salt Lake City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Salt Lake City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Salt Lake City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
77° 59°
±14°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
70° 54°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
74° 50°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
80° 56°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
77° 61°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
80° 59°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
84° 60°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
83° 64°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 65°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
79° 65°
±9°
Mon
Clear
78° 60°
±19°
Tue
Light drizzle
78° 58°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
86° 63°
models agree
Thu
Clear
75° 62°
±12°

Salt Lake City, Utah (UT) (often shortened to SLC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 25 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Salt Lake City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Salt Lake City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
37°
23°
Feb
40°
23°
Mar
46°
27°
Apr
59°
35°
May
71°
45°
Jun
83°
57°
Jul
96°
67°
Aug
90°
64°
Sep
82°
56°
Oct
68°
45°
Nov
48°
30°
Dec
41°
25°

Which forecast is most accurate in Salt Lake City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F93±2.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F92±2.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±14°73° to 86°±54%45% to 99% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree70° to 70°±64%9% to 73% chance
Sun±4°73° to 77°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±3°79° to 82°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±8°73° to 81°±12%21% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Salt Lake City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Salt Lake City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Salt Lake City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Salt Lake City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Salt Lake City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Salt Lake City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Salt Lake City (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Salt Lake City?
July is typically the warmest month in Salt Lake City, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Salt Lake City get?
The coldest month in Salt Lake City is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Salt Lake City get?
Salt Lake City sees roughly 25 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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