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CheckWeather USSanta Barbara
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Santa Barbara weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Santa Barbara's high today between 74° and 79°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain.

76°60°
78°62°
77°65°
75°64°
76°64°
82°67°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±8°Sundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Mostly clear
Today 74°·Low 63°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 59°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Clear
Today 79°·Low 59°·Rain 0%
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Santa Barbara weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Santa Barbara weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Santa Barbara swings 45°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 44°F lows in February, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
February
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
32 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
92,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Santa Barbara and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Santa Barbara hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Santa Barbara 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
76° 60°
±5°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
78° 62°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
77° 65°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
75° 64°
±7°
Tue
Partly cloudy
76° 64°
±8°
Wed
Clear
82° 67°
±13°
Thu
Partly cloudy
80° 67°
±10°
Fri
Partly cloudy
78° 66°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
79° 67°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
85° 68°
±15°
Mon
Cloudy
86° 70°
±18°
Tue
Light drizzle
89° 76°
±9°
Wed
Clear
82° 67°
±10°
Thu
Clear
78° 64°
±9°

Santa Barbara, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 44°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Santa Barbara right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Santa Barbara climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
45°
Feb
62°
44°
Mar
63°
46°
Apr
70°
50°
May
70°
53°
Jun
76°
59°
Jul
89°
66°
Aug
88°
66°
Sep
83°
63°
Oct
83°
58°
Nov
72°
48°
Dec
69°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Santa Barbara?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
20±8.0°F89±3.4 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°74° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±8°76° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±8°73° to 81°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±7°72° to 79°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±8°73° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Santa Barbara

today, local time
Sunrise
06:44
Sunset
19:00
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Santa Barbara today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Santa Barbara today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Santa Barbara today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Santa Barbara and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Santa Barbara?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Santa Barbara (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Santa Barbara?
July is typically the warmest month in Santa Barbara, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Santa Barbara get?
The coldest month in Santa Barbara is February, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Santa Barbara get?
Santa Barbara sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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