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CheckWeather USSanta Maria
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Santa Maria weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Santa Maria's high today between 73° and 78°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks fog around 74°, with a 0% chance of rain.

76°54°
74°56°
76°57°
71°58°
72°57°
81°57°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±11°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Partly cloudy
Today 73°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
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Santa Maria weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Santa Maria…

Santa Maria weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Santa Maria swings 39°F across the year, from 80°F highs in August to 41°F lows in February, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 23 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
80°F average high
Coldest month
February
41°F average low
Wettest month
February
23 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
105,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Santa Maria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Santa Maria hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Santa Maria 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
76° 54°
±5°
Tomorrow
Fog
74° 56°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
76° 57°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
71° 58°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 57°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
81° 57°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
80° 60°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
78° 60°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
76° 59°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
77° 58°
±13°
Mon
Partly cloudy
81° 60°
±18°
Tue
Cloudy
81° 59°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
73° 58°
±6°
Thu
Clear
73° 55°
models agree

Santa Maria, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 41°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Santa Maria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Santa Maria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
43°
Feb
61°
41°
Mar
61°
43°
Apr
67°
46°
May
68°
48°
Jun
72°
51°
Jul
79°
53°
Aug
80°
54°
Sep
77°
55°
Oct
80°
53°
Nov
70°
47°
Dec
66°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Santa Maria?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
74±2.6°F88±3.8 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
66±3.4°F96±1.3 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°73° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°73° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±11°70° to 81°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±7°68° to 74°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tue±4°70° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Santa Maria

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:04
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Santa Maria today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Santa Maria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Santa Maria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Santa Maria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Santa Maria?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Santa Maria (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Santa Maria?
August is typically the warmest month in Santa Maria, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Santa Maria get?
The coldest month in Santa Maria is February, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Santa Maria get?
Santa Maria sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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