Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USSanta Monica
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Santa Monica weather

Loading live data…

Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Santa Monica's high today between 73° and 81°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

76°63°
78°64°
78°66°
77°66°
77°66°
81°67°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±12°Sundaysplit ±9°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±11°Wednesdaysplit ±14°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Clear
Feels 78° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Clear
Feels 78° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 73%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Clear
Feels 86° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 49%

Latest for Santa Monica: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 73° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 74° Clear · European (ECMWF): 81° Clear.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Santa Monica weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Santa Monica…

Santa Monica weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Santa Monica swings 39°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 44°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 27 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
27 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
93,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Santa Monica and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Santa Monica hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Santa Monica 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
76° 63°
±7°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 64°
±12°
Sun
Cloudy
78° 66°
±9°
Mon
Partly cloudy
77° 66°
±9°
Tue
Partly cloudy
77° 66°
±11°
Wed
Mostly clear
81° 67°
±14°
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 68°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
80° 69°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
83° 70°
±15°
Sun
Cloudy
87° 72°
±22°
Mon
Partly cloudy
86° 73°
±20°
Tue
Cloudy
89° 75°
±4°
Wed
Clear
82° 69°
±6°
Thu
Clear
76° 67°
±8°

Santa Monica, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Santa Monica right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Santa Monica climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
44°
Feb
62°
44°
Mar
61°
46°
Apr
67°
49°
May
68°
53°
Jun
73°
57°
Jul
83°
61°
Aug
83°
62°
Sep
80°
61°
Oct
79°
56°
Nov
72°
49°
Dec
67°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°73° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±12°73° to 85°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±9°73° to 82°models agree2% to 2% chance
Mon±9°72° to 81°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±11°73° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Santa Monica

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:56
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Santa Monica today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Santa Monica today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Santa Monica today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Santa Monica and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Santa Monica?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Santa Monica forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Santa Monica?
July is typically the warmest month in Santa Monica, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Santa Monica get?
The coldest month in Santa Monica is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Santa Monica get?
Santa Monica sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather