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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Springfield weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Springfield today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 68°, with a 2% chance of rain.

79°62°
68°52°
62°52°
67°52°
63°48°
64°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 61°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 61°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 64°·Rain 53%
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Springfield weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Springfield weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Springfield swings 60°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 25°F lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 52 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
February
25°F average low
Wettest month
July
52 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
154,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Springfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Springfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Springfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
79° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
68° 52°
models agree
Sun
Rain
62° 52°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
67° 52°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
63° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
64° 49°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
61° 48°
±12°
Fri
Drizzle
61° 50°
±12°
Sat
Light drizzle
66° 50°
±13°
Sun
Light drizzle
67° 50°
±14°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 51°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
69° 52°
±5°
Wed
Showers
72° 56°
±6°
Thu
Light rain
68° 51°
±6°

Springfield, Massachusetts (MA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Springfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Springfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
27°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
50°
31°
Apr
61°
40°
May
71°
49°
Jun
80°
59°
Jul
85°
66°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
75°
57°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
42°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Springfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°78° to 80°±49%4% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±1°68° to 69°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±7°59° to 66°±7%93% to 100% chance
Mon±3°65° to 69°±1%67% to 68% chance
Tue±1°62° to 63°±1%2% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:54
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Springfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Springfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springfield (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Springfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Springfield, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Springfield get?
The coldest month in Springfield is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Springfield get?
Springfield sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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