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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Springfield weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 76° in Springfield today. Tomorrow looks rain around 81°, with a 75% chance of rain.

76°65°
81°60°
81°65°
66°59°
68°57°
66°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Showers
Today 77°·Low 65°·Rain 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Heavy rain
Today 75°·Low 66°·Rain 65%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Thunderstorm
Today 76°·Low 65°·Rain 77%
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Springfield weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Springfield weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Springfield swings 56°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 27°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 41 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
27°F average low
Wettest month
January
41 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
60,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Springfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Springfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Springfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
76° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
81° 60°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
81° 65°
±4°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
66° 59°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
68° 57°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
66° 57°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
65° 56°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
69° 56°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
70° 52°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
72° 52°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
74° 53°
±14°
Tue
Rain
68° 51°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
61° 47°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
65° 46°
±5°

Springfield, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Springfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Springfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
27°
Feb
49°
30°
Mar
53°
34°
Apr
63°
44°
May
73°
54°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
78°
59°
Oct
66°
48°
Nov
53°
38°
Dec
44°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Springfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F95±1.7 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°75° to 77°±12%65% to 77% chance
Tomorrow±1°80° to 82°±49%26% to 75% chance
Sun±4°78° to 83°±18%57% to 75% chance
Mon±7°63° to 69°±3%48% to 51% chance
Tue±3°66° to 69°±18%28% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springfield

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Springfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Springfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springfield (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Springfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Springfield, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Springfield get?
The coldest month in Springfield is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Springfield get?
Springfield sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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