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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Springfield weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in Springfield today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 96°, with a 1% chance of rain.

96°75°
96°74°
92°72°
80°67°
75°63°
77°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±13°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Mostly clear
Today 96°·Low 74°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Mostly clear
Today 97°·Low 76°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Light drizzle
Today 96°·Low 76°·Rain 55%
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Springfield weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Springfield weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Springfield swings 63°F across the year, from 89°F highs in August to 26°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
26°F average low
Wettest month
May
39 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
170,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Springfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Springfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Springfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
96° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
96° 74°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
92° 72°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
80° 67°
±13°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 63°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
77° 57°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
79° 57°
±9°
Fri
Partly cloudy
75° 58°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
80° 59°
±11°
Sun
Light drizzle
84° 62°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
76° 60°
±11°
Tue
Cloudy
73° 55°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
78° 54°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
84° 60°
models agree

Springfield, Missouri (MO) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Springfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Springfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
43°
26°
Feb
55°
34°
Mar
59°
39°
Apr
68°
47°
May
78°
58°
Jun
86°
65°
Jul
88°
69°
Aug
89°
69°
Sep
83°
62°
Oct
73°
52°
Nov
58°
40°
Dec
50°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Springfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F95±1.5 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°96° to 97°±50%5% to 55% chance
Tomorrow±1°95° to 96°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±2°91° to 93°±7%46% to 53% chance
Mon±13°74° to 87°±2%58% to 60% chance
Tue±10°70° to 80°±1%13% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Springfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Springfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springfield (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Springfield?
August is typically the warmest month in Springfield, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Springfield get?
The coldest month in Springfield is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Springfield get?
Springfield sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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