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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Sylmar weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Sylmar today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 84°, with a 0% chance of rain.

80°60°
84°60°
82°63°
78°63°
83°62°
90°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Clear
Today 79°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Mostly clear
Today 80°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Clear
Today 81°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
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Sylmar weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Sylmar weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sylmar swings 51°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 42°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 31 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
42°F average low
Wettest month
February
31 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and November
Residents
80,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Sylmar and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sylmar hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sylmar 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
80° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
84° 60°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
82° 63°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
78° 63°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
83° 62°
models agree
Wed
Clear
90° 67°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
88° 68°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
86° 69°
±14°
Sat
Mostly clear
88° 69°
±17°
Sun
Cloudy
91° 71°
±16°
Mon
Mostly clear
92° 73°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
95° 78°
models agree
Wed
Clear
86° 67°
±6°
Thu
Clear
79° 65°
±9°

Sylmar, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 31 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Sylmar right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Sylmar climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
59°
42°
Feb
59°
42°
Mar
60°
44°
Apr
70°
48°
May
72°
51°
Jun
80°
57°
Jul
93°
66°
Aug
91°
65°
Sep
85°
62°
Oct
83°
59°
Nov
69°
48°
Dec
67°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sylmar?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F93±2.1 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°79° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°83° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±4°80° to 85°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±4°76° to 79°±2%1% to 3% chance
Tue±4°81° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sylmar

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:55
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sylmar today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Sylmar today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sylmar today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Sylmar and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sylmar?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sylmar (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sylmar?
July is typically the warmest month in Sylmar, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Sylmar get?
The coldest month in Sylmar is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Sylmar get?
Sylmar sees roughly 31 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather