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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Tacoma weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Tacoma today. Tomorrow looks fog around 72°, with a 0% chance of rain.

71°53°
72°51°
74°51°
72°51°
70°53°
67°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Cloudy
Today 72°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
69°
Fog
Today 69°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
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Tacoma weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Tacoma weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Tacoma swings 46°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 47 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
December
47 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
223,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tacoma and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tacoma hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tacoma 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
71° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Fog
72° 51°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
74° 51°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
72° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
70° 53°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
67° 51°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
66° 53°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
67° 51°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
67° 50°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
68° 50°
±11°
Mon
Partly cloudy
68° 52°
±14°
Tue
Cloudy
64° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
59° 49°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
63° 47°
±6°

Tacoma, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tacoma right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tacoma climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
35°
Feb
47°
35°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
55°
40°
May
66°
47°
Jun
71°
50°
Jul
81°
57°
Aug
79°
57°
Sep
71°
53°
Oct
61°
45°
Nov
50°
39°
Dec
49°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tacoma?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.3 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°69° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°70° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±7°70° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°71° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°69° to 71°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tacoma

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tacoma today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tacoma today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tacoma today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tacoma and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tacoma?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tacoma (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tacoma?
July is typically the warmest month in Tacoma, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Tacoma get?
The coldest month in Tacoma is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Tacoma get?
Tacoma sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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