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Troy weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Troy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Troy, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Troy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Troy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
26°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
60°
41°
May
72°
51°
Jun
79°
60°
Jul
85°
67°
Aug
79°
63°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
50°
35°
Dec
40°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Troy today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Troy today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Troy today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Troy and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Troy?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Troy forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Troy?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Troy, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Troy get?
The coldest month in Troy is Feb, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Troy get?
Troy sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with Jul usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather