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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Vista weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Vista today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

78°63°
79°62°
79°61°
77°63°
79°60°
81°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Partly cloudy
Today 77°·Low 65°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 64°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Partly cloudy
Today 79°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
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Vista weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Vista weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Vista swings 36°F across the year, from 80°F highs in August to 44°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 24 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
80°F average high
Coldest month
January
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
24 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
101,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Vista and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Vista hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Vista 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
78° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
79° 62°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
79° 61°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
77° 63°
models agree
Tue
Clear
79° 60°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
81° 62°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
82° 63°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 66°
±12°
Sat
Partly cloudy
86° 65°
±14°
Sun
Cloudy
88° 68°
±12°
Mon
Cloudy
89° 71°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
92° 70°
±4°
Wed
Clear
78° 66°
±9°
Thu
Clear
76° 64°
±6°

Vista, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 24 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Vista right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Vista climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
44°
Feb
61°
45°
Mar
61°
46°
Apr
65°
49°
May
67°
54°
Jun
72°
58°
Jul
79°
62°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
78°
61°
Oct
77°
56°
Nov
72°
49°
Dec
67°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Vista?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
66±3.4°F98±0.6 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°77° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±6°77° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°75° to 78°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tue±5°76° to 82°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vista

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:50
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vista today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Vista today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Vista today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Vista and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vista?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Vista (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vista?
August is typically the warmest month in Vista, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Vista get?
The coldest month in Vista is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Vista get?
Vista sees roughly 24 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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