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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Waterloo weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Waterloo today. Tomorrow looks showers around 78°, with a 91% chance of rain.

73°63°
78°66°
66°60°
61°56°
62°51°
66°47°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Overcast
Feels 84° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Overcast
Feels 79° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Light showers
Feels 81° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 93%

Latest for Waterloo: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 77° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 74° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 75° Light showers.

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Waterloo weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Waterloo weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Waterloo swings 66°F across the year, from 82°F highs in June to 16°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
16°F average low
Wettest month
May
32 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
68,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Waterloo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Waterloo hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Waterloo 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
73° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
78° 66°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
66° 60°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
61° 56°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
62° 51°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
66° 47°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
67° 51°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
67° 54°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
68° 56°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
66° 56°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
64° 54°
±9°
Tue
Clear
60° 48°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
64° 46°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 49°
models agree

Waterloo, Iowa (IA) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 16°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Waterloo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Waterloo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
16°
Feb
43°
22°
Mar
48°
29°
Apr
60°
40°
May
74°
52°
Jun
82°
63°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
82°
64°
Sep
79°
59°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
48°
34°
Dec
38°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Waterloo?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±1.9 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree73° to 73°±31%69% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°77° to 80°±34%57% to 91% chance
Sun±4°64° to 68°±21%14% to 35% chance
Mon±1°61° to 62°±8%31% to 39% chance
Tue±5°60° to 66°±6%29% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waterloo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waterloo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Waterloo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waterloo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Waterloo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waterloo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Waterloo (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waterloo?
June is typically the warmest month in Waterloo, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Waterloo get?
The coldest month in Waterloo is January, when overnight lows average about 16°F.
How much rain does Waterloo get?
Waterloo sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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