Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USWellington
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Wellington weather

Loading live data…

Thunderstorm,thunder likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Wellington today. Tomorrow looks thunderstorm around 84°, with a 90% chance of rain.

83°74°
84°73°
87°73°
85°75°
86°74°
87°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Thunderstorm
Today 83°·Low 77°·Rain 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Heavy showers
Today 85°·Low 72°·Rain 77%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Thunderstorm
Today 82°·Low 72°·Rain 100%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Wellington weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Wellington…

Wellington weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Wellington swings 30°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 60°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 68 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
60°F average low
Wettest month
September
68 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
63,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wellington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Wellington hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Wellington 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
83° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Thunderstorm
84° 73°
models agree
Sun
Thunderstorm
87° 73°
±8°
Mon
Showers
85° 75°
±7°
Tue
Showers
86° 74°
±7°
Wed
Showers
87° 75°
±9°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
85° 76°
±7°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
86° 76°
±6°
Sat
Showers
87° 76°
±9°
Sun
Showers
87° 75°
±8°
Mon
Showers
85° 74°
±4°
Tue
Thunderstorm
86° 74°
±10°
Wed
Thunderstorm
84° 75°
±7°
Thu
Thunderstorm
84° 76°
models agree

Wellington, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 60°F), with roughly 68 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wellington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wellington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
75°
60°
Feb
78°
61°
Mar
82°
65°
Apr
83°
66°
May
88°
70°
Jun
87°
73°
Jul
90°
75°
Aug
89°
76°
Sep
88°
74°
Oct
83°
71°
Nov
80°
67°
Dec
75°
62°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wellington?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
50
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F89±3.4 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°82° to 85°±23%77% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree84° to 84°±46%44% to 90% chance
Sun±8°84° to 92°±24%76% to 100% chance
Mon±7°82° to 89°±6%94% to 100% chance
Tue±7°83° to 90°±11%87% to 98% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wellington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wellington today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wellington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wellington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wellington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wellington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wellington (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 50. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wellington?
July is typically the warmest month in Wellington, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Wellington get?
The coldest month in Wellington is January, when overnight lows average about 60°F.
How much rain does Wellington get?
Wellington sees roughly 68 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather