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CheckWeather USWest Lynchburg
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

West Lynchburg weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in West Lynchburg today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 78°, with a 14% chance of rain.

88°70°
78°67°
86°67°
74°66°
66°61°
62°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Showers
Today 88°·Low 71°·Rain 27%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 70°·Rain 27%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Drizzle
Today 87°·Low 68°·Rain 90%
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West Lynchburg weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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West Lynchburg weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

West Lynchburg swings 57°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 32°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
September
36 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
66,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around West Lynchburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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West Lynchburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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West Lynchburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
88° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
78° 67°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
86° 67°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
74° 66°
±7°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
66° 61°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
62° 57°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
67° 57°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
72° 57°
±11°
Sat
Cloudy
73° 54°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
74° 52°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
75° 52°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
73° 56°
±9°
Wed
Rain
79° 59°
±5°
Thu
Clear
74° 53°
±11°

West Lynchburg, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for West Lynchburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

West Lynchburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
32°
Feb
55°
35°
Mar
61°
39°
Apr
71°
47°
May
76°
55°
Jun
85°
61°
Jul
89°
68°
Aug
86°
65°
Sep
79°
60°
Oct
71°
49°
Nov
59°
39°
Dec
50°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in West Lynchburg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.6 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±1.9 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°87° to 90°±63%27% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±3°77° to 80°±3%11% to 14% chance
Sun±2°84° to 87°±46%26% to 72% chance
Mon±7°72° to 79°±36%29% to 65% chance
Tue±3°65° to 68°±4%65% to 69% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in West Lynchburg

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in West Lynchburg today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for West Lynchburg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in West Lynchburg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for West Lynchburg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for West Lynchburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for West Lynchburg (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in West Lynchburg?
July is typically the warmest month in West Lynchburg, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does West Lynchburg get?
The coldest month in West Lynchburg is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does West Lynchburg get?
West Lynchburg sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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