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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Wichita Falls weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Wichita Falls today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 99°, with a 2% chance of rain.

98°76°
99°77°
99°77°
93°72°
89°69°
90°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Partly cloudy
Today 98°·Low 78°·Rain 0%
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Wichita Falls weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Wichita Falls weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Wichita Falls swings 69°F across the year, from 103°F highs in August to 34°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 30 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
103°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
May
30 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
105,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wichita Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wichita Falls hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wichita Falls 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
98° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
99° 77°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
99° 77°
±6°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
93° 72°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
89° 69°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 67°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
92° 70°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
91° 72°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
93° 70°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
96° 71°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
90° 69°
±22°
Tue
Clear
85° 66°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
91° 64°
±7°
Thu
Clear
92° 69°
models agree

Wichita Falls, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 103°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 30 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wichita Falls right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wichita Falls climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
34°
Feb
62°
41°
Mar
69°
48°
Apr
77°
55°
May
84°
65°
Jun
93°
73°
Jul
98°
77°
Aug
103°
81°
Sep
93°
71°
Oct
83°
61°
Nov
67°
47°
Dec
60°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wichita Falls?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F93±2.0 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°97° to 99°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°98° to 99°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±6°97° to 102°±4%60% to 64% chance
Mon±7°91° to 97°±18%32% to 50% chance
Tue±8°86° to 94°±9%8% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wichita Falls

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wichita Falls today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wichita Falls today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wichita Falls today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wichita Falls and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wichita Falls?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wichita Falls (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wichita Falls?
August is typically the warmest month in Wichita Falls, with average highs around 103°F.
How cold does Wichita Falls get?
The coldest month in Wichita Falls is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Wichita Falls get?
Wichita Falls sees roughly 30 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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