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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Blenheim weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Blenheim today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 14°, with a 32% chance of rain.

18°
14°
20°
12°
12°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 4%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Blenheim weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Blenheim swings 20°C across the year, from 24°C highs in February to 4°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 781 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
24°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
June
781 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
30,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Blenheim and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Blenheim hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Blenheim 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
12°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
14°
±2°
Fri
Drizzle
15°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
16°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
20°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±7°

Blenheim, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Blenheim right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Blenheim's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Blenheim weather by month

what to expect in Blenheim through the year

Here is Blenheim's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Blenheim by season.

Jan
23°
13°
Warm
Feb
24°
13°
Warm
Mar
21°
10°
Mild
Apr
18°
Mild
May
16°
Mild
Jun
13°
Cool
Wettest
Jul
13°
Cool
Aug
14°
Cool
Sep
16°
Mild
Oct
18°
Mild
Nov
20°
10°
Mild
Dec
23°
13°
Warm

What Blenheim's weather is like through the year

Blenheim runs from warm summers, with February highs near 24°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 4°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Blenheim sees roughly 781 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Blenheim

The most comfortable time to visit Blenheim is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Blenheim?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C93±3.6 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C90±5.2 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C92±4.1 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Blenheim, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±25%0% to 25% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±12%20% to 32% chance
Mon±1°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°9° to 15°±40%40% to 80% chance
Wed±1°11° to 12°±53%13% to 66% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blenheim

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blenheim today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Blenheim today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Blenheim today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Blenheim and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blenheim?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blenheim (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blenheim?
February is typically the warmest month in Blenheim, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Blenheim get?
The coldest month in Blenheim is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Blenheim get?
Blenheim sees roughly 781 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Blenheim?
The most comfortable time to visit Blenheim is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Blenheim?
Rarely - Blenheim very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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