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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Hawera weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Hawera today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°
13°
14°
15°
10°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 85%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Light rain
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 18%
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Hawera weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hawera swings 15°C across the year, from 21°C highs in January to 6°C lows in August, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1437 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
21°C average high
Coldest month
August
6°C average low
Wettest month
January
1437 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hawera and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hawera hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hawera 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
10°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
13°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
12°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
12°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±4°

Hawera, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1437 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hawera right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Hawera climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
21°
15°
Feb
21°
14°
Mar
19°
12°
Apr
18°
11°
May
15°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
13°
Sep
15°
Oct
16°
Nov
17°
11°
Dec
20°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hawera?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C93±3.6 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C76±12.0 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C89±5.7 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±67%18% to 85% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree12° to 13°±80%20% to 100% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±68%19% to 87% chance
Wed±1°10° to 11°±20%58% to 78% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hawera

today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hawera today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hawera today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hawera today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hawera and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hawera?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hawera (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hawera?
January is typically the warmest month in Hawera, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Hawera get?
The coldest month in Hawera is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Hawera get?
Hawera sees roughly 1437 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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