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CheckWeather NZStratford
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Stratford weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Stratford today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°
11°
14°
13°
12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 87%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Fog
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 30%
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Stratford weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Stratford swings 15°C across the year, from 20°C highs in January to 5°C lows in August, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1672 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
20°C average high
Coldest month
August
5°C average low
Wettest month
January
1672 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
6,430
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Stratford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Stratford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Stratford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
±2°
Wed
Drizzle
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
12°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Sun
Rain
12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
11°
±3°
Tue
Partly cloudy
13°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14°
models agree

Stratford, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1672 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Stratford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Stratford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
20°
13°
Feb
20°
13°
Mar
18°
10°
Apr
16°
10°
May
14°
Jun
12°
Jul
11°
Aug
11°
Sep
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
16°
Dec
19°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Stratford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C88±6.2 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C93±3.4 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C79±10.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°13° to 14°±70%30% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 11°±15%85% to 100% chance
Mon±1°14° to 14°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°±65%28% to 93% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°±24%65% to 89% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stratford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stratford today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Stratford today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stratford today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Stratford and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stratford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stratford (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stratford?
January is typically the warmest month in Stratford, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Stratford get?
The coldest month in Stratford is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Stratford get?
Stratford sees roughly 1672 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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