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CheckWeather NZLincoln
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Lincoln weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Lincoln today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain.

18°
12°
19°
14°
11°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 45%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 10°·Rain 3%
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Lincoln weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lincoln swings 18°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 4°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 732 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
July
732 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
9,180
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Lincoln and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lincoln hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lincoln 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
11°
±2°
Thu
Mostly clear
16°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±2°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
18°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±6°

Lincoln, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 732 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Lincoln right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Lincoln climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
14°
Feb
22°
13°
Mar
19°
11°
Apr
17°
May
14°
Jun
12°
Jul
11°
Aug
12°
Sep
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
18°
10°
Dec
21°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lincoln?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C88±6.0 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C92±3.9 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C90±4.8 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±42%3% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±2°11° to 13°±14%86% to 100% chance
Mon±1°18° to 19°±15%0% to 15% chance
Tue±6°11° to 17°±6%91% to 97% chance
Wed±2°10° to 12°±13%42% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lincoln

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
18:22
Daylight
11h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lincoln today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Lincoln today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lincoln today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Lincoln and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lincoln?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lincoln (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lincoln?
January is typically the warmest month in Lincoln, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Lincoln get?
The coldest month in Lincoln is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Lincoln get?
Lincoln sees roughly 732 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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